Currently in the Twin Cities — July 10, 2023: Still hot with some smoke returning

Plus, severe flash flooding is likely across New England this week

The weather, currently.

Still hot with some smoke returning

Monday will be briefly steamy and hot ahead a cool front dropping out of Canada. Highs will be near 90 degrees and dew points will climb into the sticky 60s. That cool front will touch off some isolated and spotty storms late in the day into the evening hours. That front will also bring in a fresh band of Canadian wildfire smoke. It appears most of it will remain aloft, but air quality is forecast to drop to moderate levels. Behind the front it will be cooler again with highs near 80 Tuesday and Wednesday. We’ll be in an unsettled pattern with isolated and spotty, mainly minor, shower chances much of the week.

What you can do, currently.

The climate emergency doesn’t take the summer off. In fact — as we’ve been reporting — we’re heading into an El Niño that could challenge historical records and is already supercharging weather and climate impacts around the world.

When people understand the weather they are experiencing is caused by climate change it creates a more compelling call to action to do something about it.

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What you need to know, currently.

A multi-day torrential rainstorm will focus tropical moisture along a narrow band of New England with possibly catastrophic results this week.

The National Weather Service is comparing this week’s rains to that of 2011’s Hurricane Irene, which produced billions of dollars of damage in New York and Vermont.

If everything continues to play out largely as expected, there are

likely to be scattered Flash Flood Emergencies declared, along

with mudslides and widespread flash flooding of not only small

creeks and streams, but also the larger rivers. The widespread

flooding is expected to be analogous to the 2011 Irene remnants

event for this area, though this time no tropical storms are

associated with this rainfall.

NWS Weather Prediction Center forecast discussion

Widespread heavy rain of 3-5 inches per day for at least two days, and as much as 12 inches of rain per day, will quickly overwhelm smaller streams and lead to destructive flooding. The extend of the flooding should stretch from New York City northward into the Hudson Valley and include most of the state of Vermont, western New Hampshire, western Massachusetts, and western Connecticut. If you are in the affected areas, or have friends who are, it might be a good idea to give them a call or text just to give them a heads up.

Monday’s Excessive Rainfall risk

Tuesday’s Excessive Rainfall risk